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Jimychanga's avatar

"I saw an interview on pbs with a reporter questioning the elder leader of a huge Amish Community in Ohio. The reporter asked " It's been 2 years and your community has not a had a single case of covid, Why is this? The elder gave 3 reasons. None of us are vaccinated, we don't have tv or internet and we only eat our locally grown organic food.

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Charlie Clelland's avatar

These death numbers are the ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics) numbers and are an underestimate. The ABS says in the fine print that they only include deaths where a doctor has issued a death certificate and Coroner's Court cases - in Australia this is about 70% of all deaths.

A better estimate may be made by taking the death data from the state of Queensland where all deaths must be registered within 14 days of decease and these are reported monthly.

Taking the same time period (Oct 2021 to May 2022) in Queensland it was reported that:

Number of deaths registered - 23528

Expected number (based on 2010-2019 data) - 19258

Excess deaths - 4270 (22% of expected)

This can be scaled by a factor of 5 to give an estimate for Australia (Qld is exactly 20% of Australia's population)

Est. number of deaths - 117600

Est. expected - 96300

Excess - 21350 (22%)

The Queensland data to the end of July has shown a steady increase in the number of deaths. Year to date to July 2022 the %excess deaths is 28%.

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